21186
It's time for one of my not-so-famous ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL TO A MILLION!
We have made 21,186 posts in 1,129 days
That gives us a total of 18.765 posts a day (approximately)
If we were to continue this trend it would take us 52,160.9 days from today to get to a million.
This means our Estimated time of Arrival is...
Friday, 19 December 2155Now my last ETA I did was 79 days ago and it said the ETA was 1st, September, 2159.
Because of that, that means in the last 79 days, the amount of times we've posted has increased from 18.0 to about 18.7, which is an increase of roughly 2.5%. I did some calculations and the increase per day of our posts is pretty close to 0.000321384%
Now if we assumed the amount of posts per day kept increasing by that percentage a day, then our ETA would be closer, it took me way too long to get figure this formula out, but the formula to figure out our new ETA is
n = (ln((1,000,000 - 1129P)(r - 1) + P) / P) / ln(r)
Where:
n = The amount of days from today until we reach a million
P = The posts per day
r = The increase of Posts per day... per day.
With the numbers stated above, this gives our more "trended" ETA to be 8,953.7777 days away. Which is considerably closer than the standard ETA.
Giving an ETA based on our trends of...
Wednesday, 2 September 2037However, this date is still rather inaccurate as it assumes by the last day we'll be posting 333 posts per day. So at least we know that the ETA is between 2/9/2037 - 19/12/2155. The more ETA's I do the thinner this time-stamp will be until I can get an accurate ETA, at the moment it is with a pretty large 118 year gap.
(-2) + 1 - 1 + 8 = 6
Topic: Counting to 1,000,000 (Read 3131600 times)